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AA
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
NL

AZ
1 - 1
Napoli

Martins Indi (54')
Martins Indi (41'), Wijndal (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mertens (6')
Demme (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for AZ had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest AZ win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawNapoli
34.11%27.17%38.72%
Both teams to score 50.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82%55.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58%76.42%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47%30.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24%66.76%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27%27.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7%63.3%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 34.11%
    Napoli 38.72%
    Draw 27.16%
AZ AlkmaarDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.11%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 10.86%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.97%
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 38.72%

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