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NL
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 22, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
AA

Napoli
0 - 1
AZ


Koulibaly (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Wit (57')
De Wit (81')
Coverage of the Europa League Group Stage clash between Napoli and AZ Alkmaar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 76.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for AZ had a probability of 4.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 24.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (21.31%) and 3-0 (12.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.52%), while for an AZ win it was 0-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawAZ Alkmaar
76.39%19.5%4.12%
Both teams to score 16.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.35%67.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.3%85.7%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06%16.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98%47.02%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
20.16%79.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
2.19%97.82%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 76.37%
    AZ Alkmaar 4.12%
    Draw 19.49%
NapoliDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 24.01%
2-0 @ 21.31%
3-0 @ 12.61%
4-0 @ 5.6%
2-1 @ 4.8%
3-1 @ 2.84%
5-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 76.37%
0-0 @ 13.52%
1-1 @ 5.41%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.49%
0-1 @ 3.05%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 4.12%


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