AZ have largely dominated this fixture, and it is hard to envisage any other result than a victory for them. We are backing the away side to cruise to a comfortable win come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Emmen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
31.64% ( 0.2)	25.03% ( 0.2)	43.33% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 56.41% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

-0.81)

46.87% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88% (

-0.76)

69.12% (

0.76)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.98% (

-0.27)

28.02% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.33% (

-0.34)

63.67% (

0.34)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.37% (

-0.52)

21.63% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25% (

-0.81)

54.75% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Emmen 31.64%

AZ Alkmaar 43.33%

Draw 25.02%

Emmen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.64%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.33%