Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Cambuur | 5 | -4 | 4 |
13 | Emmen | 4 | -6 | 4 |
14 | FC Volendam | 5 | -12 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | FC Twente | 5 | 8 | 12 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 5 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
31.64% ( 0.2) | 25.03% ( 0.2) | 43.33% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 56.41% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% ( -0.81) | 46.87% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% ( -0.76) | 69.12% ( 0.76) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.98% ( -0.27) | 28.02% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.33% ( -0.34) | 63.67% ( 0.34) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.37% ( -0.52) | 21.63% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.25% ( -0.81) | 54.75% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.64% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.33% |
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