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Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
JenS Vesting
AA

Emmen
0 - 3
AZ

 
FT(HT: 0-3)
Odgaard (21'), de Wit (27'), Reijnders (34')
Evjen (5'), Beukema (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 4-0 Emmen
Saturday, August 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-1 NEC
Thursday, September 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Emmen 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

AZ have largely dominated this fixture, and it is hard to envisage any other result than a victory for them. We are backing the away side to cruise to a comfortable win come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
EmmenDrawAZ Alkmaar
31.64% (0.202 0.2) 25.03% (0.199 0.2) 43.33% (-0.4 -0.4)
Both teams to score 56.41% (-0.588 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (-0.806 -0.81)46.87% (0.807 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (-0.759 -0.76)69.12% (0.759 0.76)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)28.02% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.33% (-0.343 -0.34)63.67% (0.343 0.34)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (-0.52199999999999 -0.52)21.63% (0.523 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.807 -0.81)54.75% (0.807 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Emmen 31.64%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.33%
    Draw 25.02%
EmmenDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.202 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.64%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.167 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 43.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Feyenoord 4-0 Emmen
Saturday, August 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 3-2 Utrecht
Saturday, August 20 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 1-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, August 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 4-1 Emmen
Saturday, August 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 3-0 ADO Den Haag
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-0 Emmen
Friday, April 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: AZ 1-1 NEC
Thursday, September 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 0-1 AZ
Sunday, August 28 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 AZ
Thursday, August 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AZ 4-0 Gil Vicente
Thursday, August 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sparta 2-3 AZ
Sunday, August 14 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 7-0 Dundee Utd
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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