While Go Ahead Eagles will be looking to build on last Friday's win and end their losing streak in the Eredivisie, they go up against a solid AZ side who are unbeaten in seven of their last eight meetings. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are backing AZ to claim a comfortable win on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
62.44% ( 0.79)	21.01% ( -0.13)	16.54% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46% (

-0.55)

44.54% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.09% (

-0.53)

66.9% (

0.54)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.32% (

0.07)

13.67% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.11% (

0.13)

40.88% (

-0.12)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.87% (

-1.12)

40.13% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.23% (

-1.04)

76.77% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 62.43%

Go Ahead Eagles 16.54%

Draw 21.01%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.58% 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 62.43%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.01%	0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.54%