Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Groningen | 1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Cambuur | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 3 | 4 |
4 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
19.12% (![]() | 22.75% (![]() | 58.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.11% (![]() | 47.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.93% (![]() | 70.07% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.9% (![]() | 39.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.18% (![]() | 75.81% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.82% (![]() | 16.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.35% (![]() | 45.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 5.94% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.12% | 1-1 @ 10.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.63% ( ![]() Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 11.52% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 9.85% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 58.12% |
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