Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
