While Cambuur impressed against AZ Alkmaar last time out, their defence tends to be leaky, and we see them falling just short away from home.
Utrecht will be full of confidence after their 3-0 win, and they should have enough to make it two victories on the bounce in what will be a tight affair.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.51%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
