Separated by just one place and one point on the log, we expect both sides to go for all three points which should give rise to a keenly-contested affair. However, we are backing a share of the spoils with the teams settling for a point apiece.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
