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FU
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 16, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
A

Utrecht
0 - 3
Ajax


Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')

We said: FC Utrecht 1-3 Ajax

With a chance to reclaim top spot albeit temporarily, Ajax will be fired up for the clash, and we are tipping them to come away with all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
14.56%18.53%66.91%
Both teams to score 55.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.9%37.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.7%59.3%
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.9%38.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13%74.87%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.75%10.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.41%33.6%
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 14.56%
    Ajax 66.91%
    Draw 18.53%
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.14%
1-0 @ 3.77%
2-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 14.56%
1-1 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 4.72%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.53%
0-2 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-1 @ 8.9%
0-3 @ 7.7%
1-3 @ 7.43%
0-4 @ 4.38%
1-4 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.58%
2-4 @ 2.04%
0-5 @ 2%
1-5 @ 1.93%
2-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 66.91%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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