Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
