SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 51.99%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
51.99% ( 0.01) | 23.01% ( -0) | 25% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.34% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.89% ( 0.01) | 42.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.49% ( 0.02) | 64.51% ( -0.02) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( 0.01) | 16.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.21% ( 0.02) | 45.79% ( -0.02) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% | 30.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.48% ( 0) | 66.52% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.99% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 25% |
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