SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City |
36.79% ( -0.14) | 24.96% ( 0.05) | 38.24% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.89% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.51% ( -0.27) | 45.48% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.18% ( -0.25) | 67.81% ( 0.25) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( -0.2) | 24.3% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% ( -0.28) | 58.67% ( 0.27) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( -0.08) | 23.52% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( -0.11) | 57.57% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.79% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.24% |
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