SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Volendam in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
40.17% ( -0.57) | 24.14% ( -0.29) | 35.69% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 60.76% ( 1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( 1.53) | 41.71% ( -1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.88% ( 1.53) | 64.12% ( -1.52) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 0.39) | 20.91% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.36% ( 0.6) | 53.64% ( -0.6) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( 1.18) | 23.17% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.95% ( 1.7) | 57.05% ( -1.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.44)2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.34)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.69% |
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