SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 63.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 0-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for FC Twente in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | FC Twente |
16.97% ( 0.78) | 19.61% ( 0.48) | 63.42% ( -1.26) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.69% ( -0.8) | 37.31% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.48% ( -0.87) | 59.52% ( 0.87) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% ( 0.42) | 35.23% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( 0.43) | 71.99% ( -0.44) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.8% ( -0.56) | 11.2% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.29% ( -1.23) | 35.71% ( 1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.58% Total : 16.97% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.61% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 7.2% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 6.9% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 3.94% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 3.78% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.45% Total : 63.42% |
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