SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitesse in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Vitesse |
31.31% ( -0.02) | 23.56% ( 0.48) | 45.13% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 61.39% ( -1.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.73% ( -2.33) | 40.26% ( 2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.36% ( -2.44) | 62.64% ( 2.44) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( -1.15) | 24.99% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.36% ( -1.62) | 59.64% ( 1.62) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.85% ( -1.1) | 18.15% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.87% ( -1.91) | 49.13% ( 1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.46)2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.55)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.68% Total : 45.13% |
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