Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
