Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
