Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
