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Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2021 at 11.15am UK
Adelaarshorst
PZ

Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Botos (77')
Kuipers (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Joel Mbinga (29'), Kersten (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 36.29%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawPEC Zwolle
36.29%27.46%36.25%
Both teams to score 49.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8%56.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75%77.25%
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34%29.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29%65.71%
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31%29.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.26%65.75%
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 36.29%
    PEC Zwolle 36.24%
    Draw 27.46%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawPEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 7.9%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 36.29%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 6.49%
1-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 36.24%

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