Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
