Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Heerenveen in this match.
