Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.28%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
