Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
