Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
