PSV have been prone to the odd horror-show this season, but they have been impressive in recent weeks and should have enough to take all three points from this one, ending a decade-long hoodoo at this stadium in the process despite their attacking absentees.
Heerenveen will hope that last weekend's win gets them back on track, but a visit from one of the 'big three' is the last thing they needed to follow that triumph up.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-0 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
