Both teams have been abysmal in recent weeks, so there is little to choose between them heading into this weekend's meeting. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.