SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heracles |
60.48% ( 6.85) | 19.84% ( -1.89) | 19.67% ( -4.97) |
| Both teams to score 62.16% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.27% ( 2.71) | 33.73% ( -2.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.44% ( 3.02) | 55.55% ( -3.02) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.1% ( 2.82) | 10.9% ( -2.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.95% ( 5.91) | 35.05% ( -5.91) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( -2.68) | 30.24% ( 2.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.59% ( -3.33) | 66.4% ( 3.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.64)1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.79)3-0 @ 5.98% ( 1.04)3-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.8)4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.86)4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.33)5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.5)5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.5)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.24)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.11% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.94) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.4)0-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.49)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.84% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -1.01) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.93)0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.78)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.6)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.41)Other @ 2.82% Total : 19.67% |
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