SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for NEC had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
46.02% ( -0.13) | 22.9% ( 0.02) | 31.08% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 63.69% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.81% ( -0.03) | 37.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.61% ( -0.04) | 59.39% ( 0.03) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.4% ( -0.06) | 16.6% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.59% ( -0.11) | 46.4% ( 0.11) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( 0.05) | 23.63% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.28% ( 0.07) | 57.72% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.42% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.08% |
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