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Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 12, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
HA

Vitesse
2 - 1
Heracles

Openda (31', 49' pen.)
Manhoef (56'), Buitink (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laursen (22')
de la Torre (48'), Schoofs (90+1')

We said: Vitesse 2-1 Heracles

Vitesse have been far from their best on home turf so far but will be expected to come away with all three points in this one nonetheless. We are tipping them to emerge triumphant in what should be a keenly-contested affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 13.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitesse in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitesse.

Result
VitesseDrawHeracles
64.91%21.13%13.95%
Both teams to score 45.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06%49.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07%71.93%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35%14.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21%42.79%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.02%46.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.53%82.47%
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 64.9%
    Heracles 13.95%
    Draw 21.13%
VitesseDrawHeracles
1-0 @ 13.21%
2-0 @ 12.69%
2-1 @ 9.59%
3-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 6.14%
4-0 @ 3.9%
4-1 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.32%
5-0 @ 1.5%
5-1 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 64.9%
1-1 @ 9.99%
0-0 @ 6.88%
2-2 @ 3.62%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.13%
0-1 @ 5.2%
1-2 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 1.96%
1-3 @ 0.95%
2-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.95%

Read more!
Read more!


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