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HA
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
Polman Stadion
SR

Heracles
1 - 1
Sparta

Vloet (90+3')
Bakis (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thy (58')
Duarte (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawSparta Rotterdam
42.99%26.03%30.97%
Both teams to score 52.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59%51.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78%73.22%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25%23.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11%57.89%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26%30.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33%67%
Score Analysis
    Heracles 42.99%
    Sparta Rotterdam 30.98%
    Draw 26.03%
HeraclesDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 42.99%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.3%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.61%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 2%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 30.98%

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