Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
