Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.