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AD
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
 
HA

ADO Den Haag
1 - 2
Heracles

Fadiga (68' og.)
Castillo (37'), Vejinovic (58'), van Ewijk (71'), Adekanye (75'), Mokhtar (90+3'), Kramer (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bakis (72'), Vloet (83')
Azzaoui (40')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
ADO Den HaagDrawHeracles
31.98%26.97%41.05%
Both teams to score 50.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17%54.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87%76.13%
ADO Den Haag Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22%31.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79%68.21%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72%26.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6%61.4%
Score Analysis
    ADO Den Haag 31.98%
    Heracles 41.05%
    Draw 26.96%
ADO Den HaagDrawHeracles
1-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.98%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 11.16%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-2 @ 7.46%
1-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 41.05%

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