Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 0-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
