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Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 22, 2020 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
V

PSV
4 - 1
VVV-Venlo

Max (35' pen.), Boscagli (49'), Gakpo (58'), Fein (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arias (22')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 10.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawVVV-Venlo
74.55%15.43%10.01%
Both teams to score 52.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.83%34.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.94%56.06%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.24%7.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.39%27.6%
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.59%43.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.36%79.64%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 74.55%
    VVV-Venlo 10.01%
    Draw 15.43%
PSV EindhovenDrawVVV-Venlo
2-0 @ 11.01%
3-0 @ 9.38%
2-1 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.83%
4-0 @ 6%
4-1 @ 5%
3-2 @ 3.27%
5-0 @ 3.07%
5-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 2.09%
6-0 @ 1.31%
6-1 @ 1.09%
5-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 74.55%
1-1 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 3.83%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 15.43%
1-2 @ 3%
0-1 @ 2.81%
0-2 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 10.01%

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