Despite ending their winless run last weekend, we think that Sparta Rotterdam will struggle when they come up against title chasing PSV on Sunday, and we believe the visitors will ease past their hosts to extend their unbeaten run to six-matches in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.49%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
