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Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 3, 2021 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
SR

PSV
2 - 1
Sparta

Sangare (82'), Thomas (86')
Sangare (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thy (90')
Abels (65'), Okoye (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSparta Rotterdam
66.24%19.94%13.82%
Both teams to score 48.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75%45.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41%67.6%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.23%12.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.93%39.07%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.72%44.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.65%80.36%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 66.23%
    Sparta Rotterdam 13.82%
    Draw 19.94%
PSV EindhovenDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-0 @ 11.97%
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 6.69%
4-0 @ 4.23%
4-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.73%
5-0 @ 1.74%
5-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 66.23%
1-1 @ 9.48%
0-0 @ 5.66%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 19.94%
0-1 @ 4.61%
1-2 @ 3.86%
0-2 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.08%
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 13.82%

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