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Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadium

PSV
1 - 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv

Gakpo (11')
Teze (27'), Junior (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Glazer (37'), Yeini (89')

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv

Given PSV's inconsistencies, Maccabi will fancy their chances of at least earning a share of the spoils from this contest. Nevertheless, home territory could prove key, and we are backing the Dutch outfit to claim a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
57.04%22.73%20.23%
Both teams to score 52.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72%46.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43%68.57%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01%15.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.7%45.3%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.01%36.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23%73.77%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 57.04%
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 20.23%
    Draw 22.73%
PSV EindhovenDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 6.04%
3-2 @ 3%
4-0 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 1.38%
5-0 @ 1.02%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 57.04%
1-1 @ 10.78%
0-0 @ 5.91%
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.88%
1-2 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.23%

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