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AA
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 23, 2020 at 3.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
V

AZ
3 - 1
Vitesse

Karlsson (5'), Boadu (40'), Druijf (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Openda (46')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawVitesse
48.61%24.06%27.32%
Both teams to score 56.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05%44.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.69%67.3%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41%18.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12%49.87%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95%30.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82%66.18%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 48.61%
    Vitesse 27.32%
    Draw 24.06%
AZ AlkmaarDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.51%
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 5.33%
3-0 @ 4.43%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 5.72%
0-0 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-1 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 27.32%

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