Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
