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Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Jan 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
IJsseldelta Stadion
AA

PEC Zwolle
1 - 1
AZ

Clement (9')
Kersten (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Midtsjo (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.25%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.19%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawAZ Alkmaar
21.35%20.39%58.25%
Both teams to score 62.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.07%33.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.21%55.79%
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16%28.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3%64.69%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45%11.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.52%36.47%
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 21.35%
    AZ Alkmaar 58.26%
    Draw 20.39%
PEC ZwolleDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.56%
1-0 @ 4.14%
2-0 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.49%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 21.35%
1-1 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 3.33%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.39%
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-2 @ 7.76%
0-1 @ 7.19%
1-3 @ 6.94%
0-3 @ 5.58%
2-3 @ 4.32%
1-4 @ 3.75%
0-4 @ 3.01%
2-4 @ 2.33%
1-5 @ 1.62%
0-5 @ 1.3%
2-5 @ 1.01%
3-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 58.26%

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