Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.25%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.19%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
