SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Club d'Escaldes win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Velez had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Club d'Escaldes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Velez win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Club d'Escaldes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | Draw | Velez |
52.68% ( 0.06) | 24.79% ( 0) | 22.53% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.78% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.92% ( -0.09) | 52.08% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.19% ( -0.08) | 73.8% ( 0.08) |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( -0.01) | 19.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.22% ( -0.02) | 51.77% ( 0.01) |
| Velez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% ( -0.12) | 37.97% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.25% ( -0.12) | 74.74% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | Draw | Velez |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.67% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.53% |
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