Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
