Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Puskas Academy had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Puskas Academy win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
