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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 4pm UK
Armenia Football Academy grass

Ararat-Armenia
3 - 1
Zimbru

Yenne (28'), Serobyan (68' pen.), Duarte (88')
Nondi (5'), Harutyunyan (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chigozirim Ohajunwa (62')
Alaribe (75'), Lucian (77')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Ararat-Armenia and Zimbru.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Zimbru 0-3 Ararat-Armenia
Thursday, July 25 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Zimbru 0-3 Ararat-Armenia
Thursday, July 25 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Zimbru win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ararat-Armenia would win this match.

Result
Ararat-ArmeniaDrawZimbru
69.16% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 19.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 11.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.55% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.73%48.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Ararat-Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)12.85% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.79% (0.017999999999994 0.02)39.21% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Zimbru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)50.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.32% (-0.022 -0.02)84.67% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ararat-Armenia 69.15%
    Zimbru 11.47%
    Draw 19.37%
Ararat-ArmeniaDrawZimbru
2-0 @ 13.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 13.18%
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 9.26% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.41%
4-0 @ 4.75% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 69.15%
1-1 @ 9.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 6.43%
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 19.37%
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 11.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Zimbru 0-3 Ararat-Armenia
Thursday, July 25 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aris 1-0 Ararat-Armenia
Thursday, August 3 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Aris
Thursday, July 27 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Egnatia Rrogozhine 4-4 Ararat-Armenia (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhine
Thursday, July 13 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paide 0-0 Ararat-Armenia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zimbru 0-3 Ararat-Armenia
Thursday, July 25 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zimbru 0-4 Fenerbahce
Tuesday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-0 Zimbru
Wednesday, July 26 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zimbru 1-0 La Fiorita
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: La Fiorita 1-1 Zimbru
Thursday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League


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