Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadionul Zimbru
Guera (22'),
Cojocari (39'), Samake (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Zimbru and Ararat-Armenia.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.55%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Zimbru win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ararat-Armenia would win this match.
| Result |
| Zimbru | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
13.43% ( -0.03) | 22.04% | 64.54% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.43% ( -0.08) |
| 45.59% ( -0.06) | 54.41% ( 0.06) |
| 24.22% ( -0.05) | 75.78% ( 0.05) |
| 49.48% ( -0.09) | 50.52% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.98% ( -0.06) | 85.02% ( 0.06) |
| 83.74% ( -0.01) | 16.27% ( 0.01) |
