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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadionul Zimbru

Zimbru
0 - 3
Ararat-Armenia


Guera (22'), Cojocari (39'), Samake (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Serobyan (23' pen.), Ocansey (74', 89')
Rodriguez (31'), Grigoryan (82')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Zimbru and Ararat-Armenia.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Zimbru 0-4 Fenerbahce
Tuesday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Aris 1-0 Ararat-Armenia
Thursday, August 3 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.55%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Zimbru win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ararat-Armenia would win this match.

Result
ZimbruDrawArarat-Armenia
13.43% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03) 22.04%64.54% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 41.43% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.59% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)54.41% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22% (-0.052 -0.05)75.78% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Zimbru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.48% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)50.52% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.98% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)85.02% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Ararat-Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.74% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)16.27% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.19% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)45.81% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Zimbru 13.43%
    Ararat-Armenia 64.53%
    Draw 22.04%
ZimbruDrawArarat-Armenia
1-0 @ 5.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 3.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 13.43%
1-1 @ 10.19%
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 14.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 13.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.2% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.73% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 64.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Zimbru 0-4 Fenerbahce
Tuesday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-0 Zimbru
Wednesday, July 26 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zimbru 1-0 La Fiorita
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: La Fiorita 1-1 Zimbru
Thursday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aris 1-0 Ararat-Armenia
Thursday, August 3 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Aris
Thursday, July 27 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Egnatia Rrogozhine 4-4 Ararat-Armenia (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhine
Thursday, July 13 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paide 0-0 Ararat-Armenia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 0-0 Paide
Thursday, July 21 at 4pm in Europa Conference League


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