SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
40.33% ( 0.17) | 25.46% ( 0.06) | 34.2% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( -0.3) | 48.06% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% ( -0.28) | 70.23% ( 0.28) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( -0.05) | 23.6% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( -0.07) | 57.68% ( 0.07) |
| Ararat-Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.28) | 26.99% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( -0.37) | 62.34% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Ararat-Armenia |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.2% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
