Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
DG Arena
Dordevic (58')
Mirkovic (60'), Manojlovic (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Agdon (40', 45+1', 48'), Racines (74'), Grigoryan (90+2'), Mensah (90+4')
Gareginyan (33')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Arsenal Tivat and Alashkert FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Arsenal Tivat had a probability of 10.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.94%) and 0-3 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for an Arsenal Tivat win it was 1-0 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alashkert FC would win this match.
| Result |
| Arsenal Tivat | Draw | Alashkert FC |
10.83% ( -0.22) | 20.73% ( -0.15) | 68.45% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 37.82% ( -0.28) |
| 44.98% ( 0.04) | 55.02% ( -0.03) |
| 23.71% ( 0.03) | 76.29% ( -0.03) |
| 44.59% ( -0.4) | 55.41% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.87% ( -0.24) | 88.13% ( 0.24) |
| 84.81% ( 0.13) | 15.19% ( -0.13) |
