Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 55.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for an Alashkert FC win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.
