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Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Sonera Stadium

HJK Helsinki
1 - 0
Alashkert

Tanaka (48')
Lingman (11'), Tanaka (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Milinkovic (34'), Kryuchkov (42'), Voskanyan (61')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between HJK Helsinki and Alashkert FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 55.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for an Alashkert FC win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawAlashkert FC
55.27%24.61%20.12%
Both teams to score 47.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04%53.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6%75.4%
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55%19.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71%51.29%
Alashkert FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49%41.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.99%78.01%
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 55.26%
    Alashkert FC 20.12%
    Draw 24.61%
HJK HelsinkiDrawAlashkert FC
1-0 @ 13.21%
2-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 5.91%
3-1 @ 5.19%
4-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.26%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.1%
1-2 @ 5.11%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 20.12%

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