SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Corvinul Hunedoara had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Corvinul Hunedoara win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Astana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Astana | Draw | Corvinul Hunedoara |
59.23% ( 0.12) | 22.29% ( -0.04) | 18.47% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.11% ( 0.04) | 46.88% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% ( 0.04) | 69.13% ( -0.05) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( 0.06) | 15.46% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.67% ( 0.1) | 44.32% ( -0.1) |
| Corvinul Hunedoara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( -0.07) | 39.23% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% ( -0.06) | 75.94% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Astana | Draw | Corvinul Hunedoara |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 59.22% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.47% |
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