SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 46.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Milsami had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Milsami win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Milsami | Draw | Astana |
25.32% ( 0.14) | 28.51% ( 0.04) | 46.17% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 42.44% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37% ( -0.04) | 63% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.53% ( -0.03) | 82.46% ( 0.03) |
| Milsami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% ( 0.11) | 41.53% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.98% ( 0.1) | 78.02% ( -0.09) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( -0.11) | 27.41% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% ( -0.14) | 62.89% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Milsami | Draw | Astana |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 1.2% Total : 25.31% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 14.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 46.17% |
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