SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Astana had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Astana win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Astana | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
34.64% ( -0.01) | 25.72% ( -0.01) | 39.64% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.87% ( 0.03) | 49.13% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.8% ( 0.03) | 71.2% ( -0.03) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( 0.01) | 27.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.33% ( 0.01) | 62.66% ( -0.02) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( 0.03) | 24.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% ( 0.04) | 58.87% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Astana | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 34.64% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.64% |
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